Night passed peacefully, although the South of the country, from the east arrived in rünksajupilved

The corresponding message: SIGMET fvir (WSEO31) WSEO31 EETN 192,002 EETT SIGMET 5 VALID 192000/192400 EEMH-EETT TALLINN FIR obsc TS OBS S OF N5805 TOP FL400 MOV NNW 15KT NC = http://www.emhi.ee/inc/other/lennumeteoroloogia . php
ESTOFEX the whole area of Estonia 2nd degree of the danger zone. Apparently, a similar situation can be expected, as the last two days in Belarus, or large lesions develop at between 14-16. They then move to the northwest.
ESTOFEX: A level 2 was issued for parts of the S-Finland, Estonia and Latvia Mainly for large to very large hail, damaging wind gusts to Severe and a few tornado events. A strong tornado is possible, http://estofex.org/.
At 10 Estonian 05/19/2014 05:38 19.05.pärastlõunal are several places severe fvir thunderstorms, accompanied by torrential rains and more than 20 m / s, gusts of wind blowing. Locally hail.
Night passed peacefully, although the South of the country, from the east arrived in rünksajupilvedega related to precipitation. The night was warm, the air temperature was maintained for a minimum of 10 C, and predominantly fvir over the same height of the dew point, which means that the air mass is present for the favorable response to lightning. Latvia continued the night thunderstorm activity.
A risk has been issued MST + N for Belarus Across the Baltic fvir States, Russia and the NW Extreme Extreme S Finland with Threat for Large to Very Large Hail, Severe winds, torrential rain and tornadoes. fvir Again, Outbreak of Severe storms Appears Likely Given the moderate to strong shear and extreme fvir instability in place. Storms will tend to cluster into one or two larger convective systems later in the evening When activity spreading onto S Estonia and Finland.
May 18 H. Meitern weather forecast. Estonia Weather Service warnings for Monday 5/18/2014 11:57 Monday 19:05. In many places in thunderstorms, accompanied by torrential rains and more than 20 m / s, gusts of wind blowing. Locally hail. Thunderstorms are stronger in the afternoon.
The overall weather service forecast for Monday (http://www.emhi.ee/index.php?ide=19): Monday 19:05 day +15 .. +32 C Partly cloudy. Strong thunderstorm rains concentrated mainly around the Gulf of Riga, but can also be a strong sadusid Hiiumaa and in western Estonia, late night everywhere. At times, the hail showers. East southeast wind 5 to 10, during a thunderstorm wind gusts could reach over 20 m / s, the islands and the west coast in the evening turning to northwest wind gusts of up to 15 m / s. The air temperature is 27 .. 32, in the West after the fall of thunder 10 .. 15 C, respectively.
A warm front arrived the evening of the Gulf of Finland and the associated Clouds and Rain (islands) Remove - the weather was quite clear head. At the same time, increasing the dew point rose, peaking in the evening in many parts of more than 10 C and thunderstorms fvir to the southern fvir boundary of the required 15 degrees Celsius.
For night and in the morning now gone rünksajupilvedest fibers originate from cirrostratus and cover large parts of Estonia, but in most places, although they are not close, with only the southern counties will be able to hide it in the sun. Over time, the clouds become increasingly sparse.
The time was 12:30 at the initiation fvir (formation of convection) occurred in southeast Lithuania and Latvia. From there, the clouds develop in the northwest. Initiation could wait another Estonian zone immediately above the clouds closer to the south. Should such a hot air masses arriving thunderstorm rising dew point of less than 15 C. This part is more favorable for several counties: http://www.emhi.ee/index.php?ide=21, 540.820, but the necessary threshold yet.
To date, most of the site reaches fvir a thunderstorm Estonian place during the night. Thus, it is likely the night thunderstorm. With regard fvir to the GFS model, the new outlook is part of the 19th and again on May 20th become tougher. High Chance of Rain persists in May 21, but it has been lower because the re-strengthening of the eastern anticyclone.
Most of the heat is carried by this time, but the heart of the summer heat stays (up to 25 C possible). Re hot in the second half of the week goes to the liver and increases fvir the possibility of thunderstorms. fvir As of now, however, more than 30 C ambient temperature should not rise. It seems that, like last year's early start again in the summer and very sharp? May 18 during the air mass reaches the Estonian place of exotic properties. The previous night was calm and cool way, although frosts, and cirrus clouds (associated with warm fronts and scattered fvir rünksajupilvedega). The day brings in the heart of summer heat and more clouds. In the afternoon, increasing the possibility fvir of thunderstorms, but nothing definite to say it is very risky.
It is not the same as http://estofex.org/, but let Slovenians Marko Korošec page, but still worth noting: A + MST / MDT risk has been issued across most of Ukraine for E Baltic States into Belarus with Threat fvir For Very Large Hail , damaging winds, tornadoes and rain torential. Strong instability locally in excess of 2000 J / kg overlaped strong 30-50 kt with moderate shear and SR Sound City around 200-400 J / kg are again supportive for Rapid Development of Widespread s